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Scenario Planning

 

Scenario planning provides a framework for stakeholders to make decisions that help achieve a shared vision for the future by analyzing various factors that can impact the way in which a region develops.  In transportation planning, scenario planning can be utilized to consider how changes in transportation, land use, demographics, or other factors such as climate change could affect connectivity, mobility, resiliency, and communities across the region. 

Scenario Planning Workshop, sponsored by FHWA – November 8, 2016

The HRTPO recently hosted a Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) sponsored SCENARIO PLANNING WORKSHOP on November 8, 2016.  This peer-to-peer event is part of the FHWA Scenario Planning Program, which offers a variety of training, resources, and technical assistance to agencies interested in scenario planning.  At the workshop, attendees had the opportunity to participate in discussions to exchange insights and share observations on how scenario planning can be valuable to their current and future initiatives.

The overall purpose of the workshop was to build awareness of scenario planning and for participants to exchange best practices and perspectives in the context of HRTPO’s anticipated scenario planning activities and applications for its long-range transportation planning process.  Presentations and session topics discussed include:  

  • integrating scenario modeling into the planning process for coastal regions
  • transportation and land use connectivity
  • technological innovation such as connected and autonomous vehicles
  • public engagement strategies for scenario planning

Workshop presenters included representatives from peer Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs), Atlanta Regional Commission and the Hillsborough Metropolitan Planning Organization for Transportation (Tampa, FL).  The workshop also featured a Virginia Perspectives panel with representatives from Charlottesville, Fredericksburg, and Richmond MPOs.  These peers have leveraged scenario planning in their planning practices and shared their agencies’ perspectives and lessons learned.  In addition to MPO peers, Catherine McGhee from the Virginia Transportation Research Council and Mike Mollenhauer from the Center for Technology Implementation at the Virginia Tech Transportation Institute also presented a session on connected and automated vehicles.

Looking ahead, HRTPO staff will utilize lessons learned from this workshop to develop scenarios to evaluate for the next update to the regional Long-Range Transportation Plan.

Presentations from workshop:

Presentation 1:  FHWA – Scenario Planning Workshop – What and Why

Presentation 2:  HRTPO – Scenario Planning Workshop – Hampton Roads Planning Priorities

Presentation 3:  Charlottesville-Albemarle MPO – Scenario Planning:  A Case Study & Lessons Learned

Presentation 4:  GWRC/FAMPO – Scenario Planning Perspective

Presentation 5:  RRTPO – Perspectives on Scenario Planning

Presentation 6:  Hillsborough MPO – Creating a Scenario Planning Process Custom-Fit for You:  Tampa’s Experience

Presentation 7:  ARC – Scenario Planning in Atlanta – Part 1

Presentation 8:  Hillsborough MPO – Sketch-Planning Methods for Long-Range Scenarios:  Tampa

Presentation 9:  ARC – Scenario Planning in Atlanta – Part 2

Presentation 10:  Scenario Planning for the Future:  Highlighting Connections to New Technologies

Resources